The economic impact of H1N1 on Mexico's tourist and pork sectors
Identifieur interne : 001A46 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 001A45; suivant : 001A47The economic impact of H1N1 on Mexico's tourist and pork sectors
Auteurs : Dunia Rassy [Royaume-Uni] ; Richard D. Smith [Royaume-Uni]Source :
- Health Economics [ 1057-9230 ] ; 2013-07.
English descriptors
- Teeft :
- Actual value, April, Beutels, Copyright, Different base years, Econ, Economic analysis, Economic impact, Global, Global health, Health econ, Health economics, Infectious diseases, International concern, International response, International visitors, John wiley sons, July, June, London school, Media coverage, Mexican ministry, Mexican tourism, Mexico city, Moral barrera, Nancial crisis, National institute, Outbreak, Pandemic, Percentage changes, Pork, Pork exports, Pork industry, Pork output, Pork sectors, Press coverage, Previous years, Public health, Respiratory syndrome, Revenue level, Risk perception, Sars, Second quarter, Sensitivity analysis, Similar behaviour, Swine, Swine exports, Tourism, Tourist arrivals, Tourist revenue, Tropical medicine, Unaffected months.
Abstract
By examining tourist arrivals and pork output and trade statistics, this analysis estimates the economic impact to the Mexican tourism and pork sectors because of the H1N1 influenza pandemic. It also assesses the role of the international response in the context of this economic impact. For tourism, losing almost a million overseas visitors translated into losses of around $US2.8bn, which extended over a five‐month period, mostly because of the slow return of European travellers. For the pork industry, temporal decreases in output were observed in most of the country and related to H1N1 incidence (p = 0.048, r = 0.37). By the end of 2009, Mexico had a pork trade deficit of $US27m. The losses derived from this pandemic were clearly influenced by the risk perception created in tourist‐supplying and pork trade partners. Results suggest that the wider economic implications of health‐related emergencies can be significant and need to be considered in preparedness planning. For instance, more effective surveillance and data gathering would enable policy to target emergency funding to the sectors and regions hardest hit. These results also stress the importance of being familiar with trade networks so as to be able to anticipate the international response and respond accordingly. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Url:
DOI: 10.1002/hec.2862
Affiliations:
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It also assesses the role of the international response in the context of this economic impact. For tourism, losing almost a million overseas visitors translated into losses of around $US2.8bn, which extended over a five‐month period, mostly because of the slow return of European travellers. For the pork industry, temporal decreases in output were observed in most of the country and related to H1N1 incidence (p = 0.048, r = 0.37). By the end of 2009, Mexico had a pork trade deficit of $US27m. The losses derived from this pandemic were clearly influenced by the risk perception created in tourist‐supplying and pork trade partners. Results suggest that the wider economic implications of health‐related emergencies can be significant and need to be considered in preparedness planning. For instance, more effective surveillance and data gathering would enable policy to target emergency funding to the sectors and regions hardest hit. 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